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GOP Candidates’ energy policy


Here’s an update on energy policy from the remaining GOP presidential candidates:

Romney: http://www.mittromney.com/issues/energy
Paul: http://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/energy/
Santorum: http://www.ricksantorum.com/unleashing-america%E2%80%99s-domestic-energy
Newt: http://newtgingrich360.com/american-energy-plan

I wrote earlier about how the candidates at the time compared specifically on climate change. The field has changed since then. Bachman, Cain, Perry, and Huntsman have dropped out. Gingrich and Santorum have picked up.

Fuel wasted in traffic congestion


The D.O.E. cited a study that traffic congestion wastes nearly 3 billion gallons of fuel a year in the U.S.

There are a few ways to interpret the numbers:

  1. That’s about 30 million tons of CO2 emissions per year. If an average car emits 5 tons of CO2 a year, then traffic congestion emits 6 million cars worth of CO2.
  2. Focusing on a 50 mpg car may be the wrong goal. We may save more fuel and lower emissions by having cars that perform better under congested conditions.
  3. Reducing congestion can be an effective energy conservation technique. This could include building more roads or having smarter traffic lights. 

First time in 30 years, New Nuclear Reactors approved in the U.S.


USA Today reports that for the first time since 1978, construction for a new nuclear reactor has been approved in the U.S. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission approved two reactors, estimated at $4 billion, and targeted for completion by 2017.  President Obama has guaranteed about 8 billion in loans.

The U.S. has a total of 5400 power plants, but only 65 (roughly 1%) are nuclear plants. There are about 103 reactor, as a plant may have multiple reactors. Yet despite that only 1% of the power plants and nuclear, nuclear produces 20% of the U.S. electricity. [1] 

This is because of the incredibly high efficiency and capacity factor of a nuclear plant. According to the Nuclear Energy Institute, the average cost at a nuclear power plant in 2010 was about 2.1 cents / kWh [2]. (To put it in perspective, we pay about 7.54 cents / kWh in WA state).

Nuclear power is mixed bag from an environmental perspective. On one hand, nuclear power is theoretically no CO2 emissions, and so makes great progress towards any carbon reduction goals motivated from climate change. (The physics of a nuclear plant is fundamentally different from coal and other hydrocarbons). But there’s also a waste management and disposal problem.

 

[1] http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/ask/electricity_faqs.asp 

[2] Fuel costs were .65 cents / kWh, non-fuel O&M costs were 1.49 cents / kWh.

$500 million dollars for 8000 green jobs


USA Today reported that according to an audit by the Department of Labor, the government spent $500 million in training for green jobs and only filled 8,035 jobs. That’s about $62,000 of training per job. That’s more expensive than the average public four-year college degree

The goal was to train 124,893 jobs, which would have been about $4000 / job. The program has not performed to goal. I mark this with a “sloppy reporting” tag because the article didn’t really explain why there was such a systematic failure. Was it poor quality of training? Training in the wrong fields? Overestimating demand?

Supporters of the President claim the D.O.L’s audit is poor and the numbers may improve.

The backdrop here is that unemployment has risen to 8.6%, and President Obama is taking significant debt to invest in areas that are not producing jobs, while simultaneously suppressing areas where the free market would create jobs (such as the keystone pipeline extension).

Obama rejects Keystone pipeline


The Seattle Times ran an article announcing that President Obama rejected the Keystone pipeline extension project.

What is the keystone pipeline?

The Keystone XL Pipeline is a proposed $7 billion oil pipeline extension that would transport oil from oil sands in Alberta to Texas refineries 1700 miles away. 

What are the pros and cons?

My impression is that this is primarily a Jobs vs. Potential Environmental damage issue.

Supporters for the pipeline include organized labor, oil industries, the Canada government, energy producing states, and many Republicans. They argue:

  1. It will create jobs immediately. There’s debate over the exact number, but range from 6,000 jobs to 20,000 jobs.
  2. The pipeline is ecologically safe. In particular, this is transporting existing oil produced in Canada, and not increasing domestic oil production in the U.S.
  3. Canada is producing the oil regardless, so if the U.S. doesn’t build the pipeline, Canada will just send the oil to China instead.
  4. The finished pipeline could displace up to 8% of supplies from other countries

 

Opposition to the pipeline is primarily from environmentalist who argue:

  1. The specific route routes through ecologically sensitive wetlands and aquifers in Nebraska. Reuters “As much as 27 percent of U.S. irrigated land overlies the water source, which yields nearly a third of U.S. groundwater used for irrigation, according the U.S. Geological Survey”
  2. Building further oil infrastructure only encourages further oil dependence and impedes the U.S.’s transition to a non-oil economy. Furthermore, this is oil from tar sands, which is more environmentally destructive than conventional sources.

 

Obama’s decision:

President Obama has rejected the proposal, prioritizing ecological concerns above job concerns, although he may still approve it later. This has a stark contrast to his job panel’s recommendation to increase domestic drilling from earlier this week.

This is politically tricky:

  1. This splits his Democrat base. Environmentalists are against it. Labor is for it.
  2. Unemployment is high (~8.5%) and Obama is actively suppressing job creation.

 

His decision drew immediate criticism. For example, House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said, "President Obama is destroying tens of thousands of American jobs and shipping American energy security to the Chinese. There’s really just no other way to put it. The president is selling out American jobs for politics."

Here’s a map of the pipeline:

image

Obama jobs panel pushes domestic drilling


Reuters reports that “President Barack Obama’s jobs council called on Tuesday for a corporate tax overhaul, expanded domestic drilling and new regulatory reforms”. Since this is an energy blog, I found the inclusion of domestic drilling especially interesting.

The backdrop for this is that the U.S. unemployment rate is high at 8.5%, the labor force has contracted at 6.1 million jobs below the pre-recession level, and the election is only 10 months away. The recommendation is interesting because President Obama is a Democrat, whereas Democrats traditionally oppose both domestic drilling and cheap energy.

Fossil fuels are still the goto energy sources when you need to address economic concerns. For example, ANWR has about a trillion dollars worth of oil, and the only thing preventing drilling there is government regulation. Whereas alternative energy sources are not yet economically viable, and the only thing that keeps them afloat is government regulation (see recent example with windmills).

Reuters notes:

"The Jobs Council recommends expanding and expediting the domestic production of fossil fuels – including allowing more access to oil, gas, and coal opportunities on federal lands – while ensuring safe and responsible development of those sites," the report said.

Green Company loses subsidies, cuts jobs


Here’s another example that If something is not financially sustainable, it’s not environmentally sustainable.

The N.Y. Times reports that a Vestas, a wind turbine company, is cutting 2,300 jobs. That’s about 10% of its labor force.

The article reports that it was a result of “cash-strapped governments” needing to cut subsidies for alternative energy. The government couldn’t sustain the subsidies, so the jobs ran out. 

And the trend might continue: “[Vestas] also warned that it could lay off a further 1,600 employees at factories in the United States if an important subsidy for the wind sector, known as a production tax credit, was pared back at the end of this year.”

This is just a reminder that if a government is going to have a clean energy industry on life support with subsidies, it had better make sure the rest of the economy is in healthy shape to support those subsidies. Governments should not villainize the economic sectors that are subsidizing their green energy efforts.

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